1. Disrupting Craigslist (or eBay)
Hundreds
of companies have tried to kill them with vertical and hyper local
marketplaces, but no luck. The best quote I heard about this is:
Marketplaces are very hard to build, but impossible to die. After
millions of dollars wasted, As craigslist seems to be on the decline, but far from being “disrupted”. Yet people try.
2. Dating
Despite
more than 5000 dating apps out there, people still try different spins.
Most of them fail to take off, but once in awhile there’s a hit
(HowAboutWe, Tinder, etc.) and that creates fresh energy and excitement.
As Andrew Chen notes:
Built-in churnDating has a shelf-lifePaid acquisition channels are expensiveCity-by-city expansion sucksHard to exitDemographic mismatch with investors
3. Disrupting Amazon
Hundreds of companies try vertical e-commerce to try and take a slice of Amazon but fail.. As Scott Galloway says:
We believe that pure play retail is going away, that ecommerce companies are either going to open stores or go out of business, and retailers need to be excellent in digital or they will go out of business.
4. Food delivery
The success of some early companies like Grubhub created many food delivery companies, most of them failed. From DineIn:
“Despite us being a bit smaller in order numbers to where Deliveroo were at, we had key restaurant relationships, were growing consistently, great tech but the main driving force was that funds were frightened of the follow on funding rounds required to scale this consumer business and having to compete with the larger funds”.
5. Fashion re-sale
The
early wave (Poshmark, Threadflip..) of mobile vertical marketplaces for
women's fashion created dozens of companies that raised millions of
dollars, but Amazon is threatening them:
"This is an execution business," said Brian O'Malley, a partner at Accel Partners, a venture firm that has invested in Vinted. "They're all competing over that same closet space."Investors and analysts agree that the competition is too stiff to ensure everyone's survival. The consolidation process has already begun. Bib + Tuck, a resale website funded by fashion entrepreneur Christopher Burch and others, has announced that it's shutting down after being sold to Crossroads, a national store chain. All buying, selling, and cashouts on the site have ended."I don't even know if there is going to be one winner," said Sucharita Mulpuru, an analyst at Forrester Research, "This model is never going to take over the world."
6. Photo sharing
I still see a new take on photo sharing, de-duplication, curation... don't know of a single success story other than Instagram.
7. Ed-Tech
One
of the toughest markets to crack, but hundreds of companies keep
trying... direct to consumer, mobile education, a new product for
teachers, for schools... only a handful survive(d). Avichal Garg's Why Education Startups Do Not Succeed:
- Most entrepreneurs in education build the wrong type of business, because entrepreneurs think of education as a quality problem. The average person thinks of it as a cost problem.
- Building in education does not follow an Internet company’s growth curve. Do it because you want to fix problems in education for the next 20 years.There are opportunities in education in servicing the poor in the US and building a company in Asia — not in selling to the middle class in the US.
- The underlying culture will change and expose interesting opportunities in the long term, but probably not for another 5 years.
8. Proximity marketing
After
Estimote started, hundreds of companies went after (and continue to go
after) iBeacon and proximity marketing... hard to get retailers to
play...
9. HR / Recruiting
Hundreds
of new companies every year... assumption is that talent is a big pain
point for companies... but companies are flooded with new products, it's
very hard to sell to HR.
Some general failure themes:
- X for Y… Just because Uber, AirBnB, or Tinder took off, doesn’t mean every Uber for X, AirBnB for Y or Tinder for Z will take off. From 10000 feet it may look interesting, but the peculiar dynamics of one market rarely make another work.
- New Markets… it’s a lot harder to create a new market than make an existing market efficient. Changing behaviors is hard.
- Consumer mobile… most consumer apps are experiments and don’t take off…
- B2B… efficiently getting to SMBs is hard, selling to enterprises is hard… many B2B companies fail because the sales model doesn’t work…
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